The Demographic Transition, Youth Potential and Development Nexus in Ethiopia: Dividend or Burden?
| dc.contributor.advisor | Adinew, Berhanu (PhD) | |
| dc.contributor.author | Seifu, Yordanos | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2018-08-08T09:10:59Z | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2023-11-18T09:24:36Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2018-08-08T09:10:59Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2023-11-18T09:24:36Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2010-06 | |
| dc.description.abstract | The thes is addresses the demographic transi tion potcntial in Ethiopia and the poss ibility of ca pturing the demographic dividend observed in some East Asian Countries, as well as, suggests mechani sms to fac ili tate this possible opportunity. It is based on the "S pectrum" Proj ecti on Model covering the period from 1994 to 2050. The age structure of the Ethiopian popu lation has remained child and youth dominated for along time now. but with recent incipient fe rtil i ty dec line expected to be ex pediting, Ethiopia's demographic profile will see considerable shi ft in the nex t ['our decades, Educat ion and employment indicators wi tness that despite striking improvements In primary ed uca tion and modest decline in unemployment rate past years. there is still huge unemployment ra te and low secondary school enrol lment, as well as, wide gender disparity in both secondary education and forma l employment. Proj ec tions under three different fertility scenarios reveal that fert ility plays multi ple roles in boosting Ethiopia to reap the demographic di vidend th rough; reducing population size, changi ng the age st ructure and rai sing the status of women. Thus it will determine Ethiopia 's future development course including its prospec ls of joining Middle Incoilic Countr ies. This requires the government to al locate more funds for fam ily plann ing service provision and diffusion of small fam ily norm in i ts development stmtegy as well as establ ishing quality institution including evalu ating the old popul ation policy of Eth iopi a. Nonetheless, the demographic di vidend is not automatic. nor does the window of opportunity lasts fore ver. Hence it can be reaped if policies and programs in countries at the incipient stages of the demographic transition are focused on the needs, aspirations and expectations for a growi ng bulge of you ng people. These precondi tions. among others, incl ude training and j ob creation for youth. quality and efficient educational system, agri cultural moderni zation and intensificat ion, labor intensive production technology, health ier lifestyles. and in st itutional developments. Under business as usual scenario, however, the future is hl eak and the youth wou ld turn out to be gi ven up burdens ralher than grown up di vidend. | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://etd.aau.edu.et/handle/12345678/11313 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
| dc.publisher | Addis Ababa University | en_US |
| dc.subject | Youth Potential | en_US |
| dc.subject | Development Nexus in Ethiopia: | en_US |
| dc.title | The Demographic Transition, Youth Potential and Development Nexus in Ethiopia: Dividend or Burden? | en_US |
| dc.type | Thesis | en_US |