Great Power Rivalry in the Horn of Africa and Its Implications on Ethiopian National Security From 2018 - 2022
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Date
2023-12-01
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Addis Ababa University
Abstract
Through this study, an effort is made to analyze the national security implications of great power
rivalry in Africa and the Horn of Africa region to Ethiopia. The study aimed to find out the
implications of great powers competitive engagement in Africa and the Horn Ethiopia. The study
analyzed, theoretically and practically, the opportunities and challenges of intensified great
power rivalry in the sub-region for Ethiopian‟s security. Methodologically, qualitative research
methodology was used. Accordingly, both primary and secondary sources of data are employed.
Secondary data is derived from books, journals, media reports, various research works, and
policy documents. Primary data were collected through key informant interviews from various
governmental and non-governmental foreign policy and security sector institutions. The research
found out opportunities and threats to Ethiopia‟s security. In terms of opportunities, increased
competitive engagement of great powers in the Horn has positive contribution in economic and
diplomatic terms as great power rivalry provides with alternative sources of economic and
diplomatic opportunities. However, there are major challenges to Ethiopia‟s political stability
and territorial integrity, when rival superpowers meddle in domestic political processes. In the
context of Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa, the study offered evidence indicating the negative
impacts of great power competitive engagement in weakening the Ethiopian state‟s capability to
provide economic prosperity, peace and security to its people.
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Keywords
Great Power, Rivalry, Competition, Geopolitics, Security, Intervention, Hegemony, Political Change