Great Power Rivalry in the Horn of Africa and Its Implications on Ethiopian National Security From 2018 - 2022

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Date

2023-12-01

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Addis Ababa University

Abstract

Through this study, an effort is made to analyze the national security implications of great power rivalry in Africa and the Horn of Africa region to Ethiopia. The study aimed to find out the implications of great powers competitive engagement in Africa and the Horn Ethiopia. The study analyzed, theoretically and practically, the opportunities and challenges of intensified great power rivalry in the sub-region for Ethiopian‟s security. Methodologically, qualitative research methodology was used. Accordingly, both primary and secondary sources of data are employed. Secondary data is derived from books, journals, media reports, various research works, and policy documents. Primary data were collected through key informant interviews from various governmental and non-governmental foreign policy and security sector institutions. The research found out opportunities and threats to Ethiopia‟s security. In terms of opportunities, increased competitive engagement of great powers in the Horn has positive contribution in economic and diplomatic terms as great power rivalry provides with alternative sources of economic and diplomatic opportunities. However, there are major challenges to Ethiopia‟s political stability and territorial integrity, when rival superpowers meddle in domestic political processes. In the context of Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa, the study offered evidence indicating the negative impacts of great power competitive engagement in weakening the Ethiopian state‟s capability to provide economic prosperity, peace and security to its people.

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Keywords

Great Power, Rivalry, Competition, Geopolitics, Security, Intervention, Hegemony, Political Change

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