Effect of Inflation on the Profitability of Commercial Banks in Ethiopia

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Date

2025-05-03

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A.A.U

Abstract

Ethiopia has seen steadily climbing inflation in the past few years, with profound effects on many sectors of the economy, including the banking sector. Yet the exact impact of this recent, double-digit inflation on Ethiopian commercial banks’ profitability remains open for further evaluation. For this purpose, using panel data from 2010 to 2022, this study analyses both macroeconomic and bank-specific factors that affect Ethiopian commercial banks’ profitability - with particular attention to inflation. The study employed a panel data regression method. The panel data estimates show that the profitability of commercial banks (as determined by return on assets) is positively and statistically significantly impacted by inflation. The findings of the study emphasize the necessity for commercial banks in Ethiopia to diversify their revenue streams, keep an eye on the policy and real interest rates, and prioritize efficiency and competitiveness. To stabilize the inflationary pressure in the economy, the paper also recommends that the National Bank of Ethiopia keep implementing the required timely macroeconomic measures and properly manage its interest rate policy.

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