Parking Demand Analysis and Modeling for Shopping Centers:- A Case Study of Major Shopping Centers in Addis Ababa City
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Date
2016-03
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Addis Ababa University
Abstract
In recent years, many commercial centers like shopping centers and malls are under
construction in Addis Ababa city. These developments and the rising vehicles population in the
city have resulted in growing demand for parking spaces and run into severe multidimensional
transportation problems. The study assessed the demand for parking spaces in selected
shopping centers through investigative parking utilization indices survey. Findings reveal
inadequacy of designated parking facilities.
The present study has also made an empirical approach to develop parking demand model
through case study of ten important shopping centers and malls in the city by analyzing some
quantitative factors affecting the parking demand. The findings suggest that there exists a
mathematical model providing linear, positive and most significant relationship between the
parking demand and physical properties (explanatory variables) of the shopping centers and
malls. Gross floor area, plinth area and existing parking space were identified as the direct
influencing variable among the four selected explanatory variables. A verification study was
conducted to test the validity of the regression model. The verification has indicated that there
is a shortage of proper parking facilities in at least in most of the shopping centers.
This finding provides a basis for design consideration if the present pattern of vehicle
ownership and other circumstances prevail in the near future. The model developed would
help to determine adequate parking demand so that adequate parking spaces can be planned at
proper location. Finally, the study recommends a method towards providing adequate parking
space is an essential consideration for construction of shopping centers in Addis Ababa city.
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Keywords
Addis Ababa City, Modeling, Shopping Centers, Parking Demand