Population Pressure and Agricultural Development in Ethiopia: The Case of Arssi Region
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Date
1999-05
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Addis Ababa University
Abstract
The main objective of this study is to examme the inter-relationship
between population pressure and agricultural development in Arssi region. The
basic data for the study were acquired from secondary sources.
Various descriptive statistics (percentages, means, standard deviations
and coefficient of variation) together with simple correlation and regressIOn
methods were used to analyze the data.
The fmdings of the descriptive statistics of the study unfolded that farm
size wert: small and varied among weredas. In general, land holding per capita
of peasant farmers is probably to decrease under the present conditions. Here,
it must be emphasized at this point that there is demographic reason for the
prevalence of decreasing farm size (even though there are other factors
responsible). In addition, there were yearly fluctuations (ups and downs) of
yields (out put/ha) overtime.
Analysis of the data used in the study unfolded large spatial disparity in
the levels of land and labour productivity at wereda and agro-ecological levels.The regressIOn analysis (cross-sectional data) has shown that the use of
fertilizer has been the single most important variable explaining land and labour
productivity. The remaining var iables were not statistically significant.
According to the simple regressIOn analysis (tinle-series data) at the
aggregate level it was indicated that size and density of population had positive
impact on changes in fertilizer usage, application of improved seeds, crop land
and crop production. Here, the regression results lend some support for the
Boserup's thesis regarding the relation ship between population density and
agricultural intensification.
Finally the:: pape::r reconU11ended the following policy measures. Among
other things, increasing the cropping intensity (culti vating two or more crops
per year on the same farm plot); the intensive cultivation of land per crop
season through increased use of labour input; the minimization of dependence
on cereals through the production of more labour intensive and high productive
crops like enset; and large scale conservation practices could be mentioned.
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Keywords
Agricultural Development