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  1. Home
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Browsing by Author "Temesgen Bisrat"

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    Trade Liberalization, Inequality and Poverty in Ethiopia: A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Microsimulation AnalysiS
    (A.A.U, 2009-06) Temesgen Bisrat; Geda Alemayehu
    This study examines the short run and long run impacts of unilateral trade liberalization, in terms of' a complete and instantaneous import tariff removal, on sectors of the ethiopian economy and household poverty and inequality, The study utilized a dynamic sequential model employing a top-down approach to carry out the microsimulaton analysis of poverty and inequality we used WB SAM of 1999/2000 and CSA household survey of 1999/2000 that comprises of 17332 households. The main findings of the analysis are complete and instantaneous tariff removal in the Ethiopian economy would lead to a worsening of poverty in the short run, and contraction of the initially protected industry. Particularly industry and services. In the long run trade liberalization combined with capital accumulation reduces poverty and swells sectors that were contrasted in the short run the growth effect captured by the model contributes to the expansion of all sectors, particularly agriculture and reduces poverty, the decomposition of changes in poverty indicates growth is pro-poor.

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