Browsing by Author "Molla, Meseret"

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    Climate Change and Crop Agriculture in Nile Basine of Ethiopia: Measuring Impacts and Adaptation Options.
    (A.A.U, 2009-05) Molla, Meseret; Berhanu, Wassie (Dr)
    This Study Assesses the Economic Impact of Climate Change on Crop Farming Activities In Nile Basin of Ethiopia. it Uses the Riparian Model. it Is Based on Fanny Data Generated From 20 Distress Over 975 Farmers. Annual Clop Net Revenue is Regressed on Climate And Other Variables. the Regression Results are Then Applied to Possible Allure Climates. Estimated Marginal Impacts of The Climate Variables on Crop Net Revenues in Daycare Different Results for Temperature and Precipitation and olso for Irrigated and Dry Land Farms. the Results From this Analysis Indicate that An Annual Increase of 1°C in Temperature Will Have A Positive Impact Annual Crop Nel Revenues for Irrigated Farms, but A Negative Impact for Dry Land Farms and Firms that Represent Nile Basin of Ethiopia. However, Marginal Impact of Increasing Perk Imitation Will Increase Crop Net Revenue For Both Irrigated And Dry Land Farms. In Addition, the Solidly Examines the Impact of Uniform Climate Scenarios on The Crop Net Revenue Per Hectare of Farmers. These are Increasing Temperature by 2.5° C And S° C " and Decreasing Precipitation by 7% and 14%. Based on The Results of These Simulations, the Study Predicts That Crop Net Revenues Will Fall for All Farms Under the Four Inform Climate Scenarios Except Irrigated Ones for A 2.5° C Increase In Temperature. the Study Provides Farmers' Perceptions of Climate Changes and Their Adaptations to These. It Also Gives Constraints on Adaptation Mechanistic. the Results Suggest that Famers are Aware of Climate Changes. Most of Them Have Noticed an Increase in Temperature and A Decrease in Precipitation, and that Some Have Taken Adoptive Measures. the Above Analyses More or Less , Show The Magnitude and Direction of The Economic Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture. The Findings Generally Provide An Idea About Increasing Temperature and Decreasing Precipitation that are Detrimental to the Agricultural Productivity. Dry Land Farms are Most Likely Affected by Climate Changes. Irrigated Farms Will Benefit In Relative Terms. but Adaptation is Part of Human an Nature, so These Alarming Forecasts Will Certainly be Mitigated. these Findings Suggest that Ethiopia Should Begin to Plan for Climate Contingencies. Actions that Make Agriculture Sectors More Immune to Climate Can be Taken In Advance. Developing New Crops That are More Suitable to Hot and Dry Conditions Will Help Farmers to Adapt to Climatic Conditions. Encouraging Profitable Irrigated Systems Will Reduce the Climate Vulnerability of The Agricultural Sector. Therefore, the Above Guiding Principles Will be A Priority if Certain Climate Outcomes Come to Pass to Support Sustainable Development Policy.