Climate Change and Crop Agriculture in Nile Basine of Ethiopia: Measuring Impacts and Adaptation Options.
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Date
2009-05
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A.A.U
Abstract
This Study Assesses the Economic Impact of Climate Change on Crop Farming Activities In Nile
Basin of Ethiopia. it Uses the Riparian Model. it Is Based on Fanny Data Generated From 20
Distress Over 975 Farmers. Annual Clop Net Revenue is Regressed on Climate And Other
Variables. the Regression Results are Then Applied to Possible Allure Climates. Estimated
Marginal Impacts of The Climate Variables on Crop Net Revenues in Daycare Different Results for
Temperature and Precipitation and olso for Irrigated and Dry Land Farms. the Results From this
Analysis Indicate that An Annual Increase of 1°C in Temperature Will Have A Positive Impact Annual Crop Nel Revenues for Irrigated Farms, but A Negative Impact for Dry Land Farms and
Firms that Represent Nile Basin of Ethiopia. However, Marginal Impact of Increasing
Perk Imitation Will Increase Crop Net Revenue For Both Irrigated And Dry Land Farms. In
Addition, the Solidly Examines the Impact of Uniform Climate Scenarios on The Crop Net Revenue
Per Hectare of Farmers. These are Increasing Temperature by 2.5° C And S° C " and Decreasing
Precipitation by 7% and 14%. Based on The Results of These Simulations, the Study Predicts
That Crop Net Revenues Will Fall for All Farms Under the Four Inform Climate Scenarios Except
Irrigated Ones for A 2.5° C Increase In Temperature. the Study Provides Farmers' Perceptions
of Climate Changes and Their Adaptations to These. It Also Gives Constraints on Adaptation
Mechanistic. the Results Suggest that Famers are Aware of Climate Changes. Most of Them
Have Noticed an Increase in Temperature and A Decrease in Precipitation, and that Some Have
Taken Adoptive Measures. the Above Analyses More or Less , Show The Magnitude and Direction
of The Economic Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture. The Findings Generally Provide An
Idea About Increasing Temperature and Decreasing Precipitation that are Detrimental to the
Agricultural Productivity. Dry Land Farms are Most Likely Affected by Climate Changes.
Irrigated Farms Will Benefit In Relative Terms. but Adaptation is Part of Human an Nature, so These
Alarming Forecasts Will Certainly be Mitigated. these Findings Suggest that Ethiopia Should
Begin to Plan for Climate Contingencies. Actions that Make Agriculture Sectors More Immune
to Climate Can be Taken In Advance. Developing New Crops That are More Suitable to Hot and
Dry Conditions Will Help Farmers to Adapt to Climatic Conditions. Encouraging Profitable
Irrigated Systems Will Reduce the Climate Vulnerability of The Agricultural Sector. Therefore,
the Above Guiding Principles Will be A Priority if Certain Climate Outcomes Come to Pass to
Support Sustainable Development Policy.
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Keywords
Adaptation Options, Climate Change