DRIVING FORCES THAT DETERMINE LAND USE CONVERSION TREND IN URBAN AREAS THE CASE OF GONDAR CITY

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Date

2019-06

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Publisher

EiABC

Abstract

Knowing the driving forces behind LULCC is essential for the efficient and effective use of the scarce property in urban areas. Land use and cover change can be caused by multiple driving forces that control some environmental, social and economic variables. It is important to study the driving forces of land use change to understand the change process. Thus this paper was aimed at driving forces that determine land use conversion trend in urban area the case of Gondar City by formulating objectives to answer questions of driving forces, land use land cover change trend and future expansion scenario. The study used more of quantitative methods and very few qualitative approaches by administering questionnaire, interview and field observation as data collection tools using purposive sampling. In purposive sampling; 24 professionals, 60 farmers, 190 housing cooperative associations, 66 informal settlers and 42 residents (poor of the poorest) that have lived a long time in the study area and have enough information have been selected purposively. Moreover, google earth image of 1991, 2006, and 2019 were used for the research. Based on the socio economic data result the major driving forces in the city were identified. These are societal factors, biophysical factors and economic factors. In addition to this Google earth image was used and analysed to know the land use land cover change of the city. The result revealed that from the four classified land use classes only the built up area were increased during the past 30 years. In the contrary vegetation, farmland and water body decreased through time in these periods.Therefore, controlling the population growth, biophysical and economic factors with its associated impacts on the natural environment requires the right policy packages by national and regional governments such as awareness creation, provision of family planning services, increasing productivity, working on the pushing factors of migration , controlling illegal settlements and use the right land use plan are some of the action should be taken by the city administration. Moreover, decision makers, policy makers and professionals like planners should have up to date information on land use land cover for a city. ,, .

Description

This thesis is submitted to Ethiopian Institute of Architecture, Building Construction and City Development (EiABC), Addis Ababa University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Masters of Science in Urban Planning

Keywords

Driving forces, Land use Conversion, trend analysis and urban area

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