Effect of Exchange Rate on Terms of Trade in Ethiopia
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Date
2021-02
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Addis Ababa University
Abstract
Notwithstanding the presence of products of hypothetical and observational considers that have
inspected the relationship between exchange rate and terms of trade, there are still warmed
wrangles about among researchers over the impact of depreciation of trade rate on terms of
trade of nations. In this way , the point of this study lies in understanding how changes within
the exchange rate influences the terms of trade within the long run and the short run in Ethiopia
utilizing yearly time arrangement information from 1982 to 2017. The study used ADF to test
stationery and connected Co integration Vector Autoregressive and Vector Error Correction
modeling and set up the relationship and the impacts of the exchange and terms of trade. The
study shows that exchange rate had a positive and significant impact on both the long run period
and the short run alteration components on terms of trade. The studies recommend, the
government must define approaches to guarantee the steadiness and competitiveness of the
exchange rate for favorable exchange adjust within the worldwide market. Also, definition and
usage of such approaches would improve the certainty of speculators thus make strides venture
within the profitable segments. In expansion, the government ought to make exports of goods
and services among the exchanging major exchanging accomplices and other nations.
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Keywords
Exchange rate, Terms of Trade, Co integration, Vector Error Correction Mode