Macroeconometric Policy Modelling for Ethiopia
| dc.contributor.advisor | Haile, Kibret (Dr.) | |
| dc.contributor.author | Daniel, Zerfu | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-03-25T06:58:09Z | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2023-11-04T10:28:39Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2021-03-25T06:58:09Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2023-11-04T10:28:39Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2001-07 | |
| dc.description.abstract | A sma!! macroxunonetnc model for Ethiopia is sper:ified, estimatH:i and tested using time series data for the period 1965/66 -1998/99 Wih the objectiLe of examining tk eJfo::t of an inOT'tlse in inljXJ11:pnres and the impaa of A IDS. 1he malel is set up in rp71!I'a/ equilibriton frtl111e1Wrk and individual equations in the nKXid. are estimated in an ECM fonnat using tJx: Johansen approach in view of the time series properties of tbe maoo·time series mriables. In ten11S of the individual equations and dynamicwilb·in·samfle sinUflation, tJx fJeliOlmana! of the model is quite wdl. T7W dyr1t011iJ: counle/foailal simulations are carried out 1he result of the simulation demonstrates that an increase in import prUe has diverse impact on the ffXJr1011Y induding increase in the merall prUe lead, real exc/xmlJ! rate deprociation, reduction in imports, deterioration in tenns of trade and sfa..ving dm.m of tlx fX.U/7rmicgruutb. This result is ronsistentwilb the import mnpression argument raised in Ndulu (1991) and Ratt;E (1994). In addition, it can be discerned that the prewlentE of H!V/AIDS has a negatiu! impaa on the merall fX.U/7arty througfJ lmwing the actite falxJur force The decline in the /alxJ~nIarr:e bas a dim ~ impaa on lxJtI, tlx output of the agricultural and non·agricultural sector.; that 7.wuld lead to the foIL in priwte consumption, inU!stment, exports and gm:emment tax rewnue. 1he slfJW dorm of the econ(my 7Wuld also be strengt/xned wilb tlx fa/I in imports due to the drrline in exports and knee tbe shrinking doun of the imfXJrting capacity. | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://etd.aau.edu.et/handle/123456789/25676 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
| dc.publisher | A.A.U | en_US |
| dc.subject | Modelling For Ethiopia Macroeconometric | en_US |
| dc.title | Macroeconometric Policy Modelling for Ethiopia | en_US |
| dc.type | Thesis | en_US |