Macroeconomic Determinants of Private Investment in Namibia
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Date
1998-06
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A.A.U
Abstract
An econometric analysis of the cleteyminants of private investment
wi th the aid of the Engle and Granger (2987) Tr,.,-o-s tel? IHocedure
suggest that in the long-run private investment is affected
positively by public investment, real gross domestic product
(real output), credit to the private sector, depreciation of the
exchange rate and negatively by an increase in the inflation and
real interest rate.
In the short-run an increase in public investment and real gross
domestic product (real output) stimulates private investment in
Namibia. However, increases in inflation and real interest rates
as well as depreciation of the exchange rate were found to
inhibit private investment in the short run.
The central policy recommendation of this study is that the
maintenance of a stable macroeconomic environment is crucial to
efforts aimed at encouraging private investment and thus toward
laying the foundation for sustained economic growth in Namibia.
These will be derived from a low and stable inflation rate,
stable and predictable exchange rate, reduction in unemployment
levels brought about by increased private sector participation
in the productive sector of the economy, and by limi ting the role
of the public sector to the provision of essential services that
do not compete with the private sector for scarce credit.
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Keywords
Determinants of Macroeconomic