Determinants of Export Diversification: The Case of Ethiopia
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Date
2021-09
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A.A.U
Abstract
This thesis focus on examining the determinants of export diversification in Ethiopia for the period ranges from 1985-2019. This paper used time series econometrics model which was estimated by Autoregressive Distribute Lag (ARDL) to analysis the presence of both long-run and short-run determinants of export diversification in Ethiopia. The determinants of export diversification proxies used in this study is number of cooperatives, productive aged 15-64 population, real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), real exchange rate, trade openness, top five exported commodities and top ten exported commodities as control variable. The empirical investigation shows that among the variable used in this study number of cooperatives, productive aged 15-64 population, real GDP and trade openness positively and significantly determine the export diversification. Finally, this study recommends that the Ethiopia government must search opportunity in and surrounding the number of cooperatives and productive age 15-64 population.
Keywords: Ethiopia, export diversification, cooperatives, productive aged, Autoregressive Distributed Lag.
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Keywords
Export Diversification, Productive Aged