Terms of Trade and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

dc.contributor.advisorGeda, Alemayehu (Dr.)
dc.contributor.authorNegash, Michael
dc.date.accessioned2021-03-26T10:08:08Z
dc.date.accessioned2023-11-04T10:28:42Z
dc.date.available2021-03-26T10:08:08Z
dc.date.available2023-11-04T10:28:42Z
dc.date.issued2005-07
dc.description.abstractThis paper attempts to analyze the impact oj terms oj trade volatility and trends 0 11 economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. III this regard, a cross country growth equation, which defines fhe CDP growth rate as a jimction oj growth rate oj investmellt, growth rate oj labor jorce, terms oj trade trends and volatility, is derived. This growth equation is analyzed jor 30 SubSaharan Aji'icall countries over the period 1970-2002 using panel coill tegralioll tech nique. Both the long-run alld the short-run parameters are estimated by applying a panel vector error correction model (PVECM). Accordingly, the results oj the estimation show that both terms oj trade volatility and trends have adverse effects ta the growth rate while the volatility is jound to have a more powerful negative impact than the trends. 011 the other halld, the control variables: growth rate of labor force alld investments are jound to have positive impacts on growth rate oj the countries. Hence, the possible advice to these countries, to reduce the adverse impact of terms of trade volatility and deterioration, is to move the export sector to labor-intensive manufacturillg instead of primCllJ' sector exports. Further study is also advised 0 11 the determinants of terms of trade deterioratioll and volatility, which adversely affect the growth oj the region; to tackle the problems ji-om the root.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://etd.aau.edu.et/handle/123456789/25713
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherA.A.Uen_US
dc.subjectTerms of trade volatility, terms of trade trends, pallel cointegratioll, panel vector error correction model (PVECM), and CDP growth rate VIen_US
dc.titleTerms of Trade and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africaen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US

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