Browsing by Author "Teklewold, Hailemariam (PhD)"

Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
  • No Thumbnail Available
    Item
    Climate Change Adaptation Strategy and Its Effect on Farmers’ Downside Risk Exposure in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia
    (Addis Ababa University, 2015-12) Getu, Yechale; Teklewold, Hailemariam (PhD)
    This study examines factors determining adoption of AWM (Agricultural Water Management) and the effect of AWM on downside risk exposure of farmers in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia. Moment based specification of farm income function is employed to measure downside risk exposure. We apply an endogenous switching regression approach by modeling AWM and downside risk depending on household and farm characteristics and a set of climatic variables based on geo-referenced historical precipitation and temperature data. Our analysis is based on farm level data collected in 2015. The result indicated that household and farm characteristics, and institutional and climatic factors are the important factors explaining both the adoption of AWM and downside risk exposure. We found that adoption of AWM is more likely under warmer and moisture stress climatic conditions. The result also showed that adaptation to climate change through AWM play a significant and positive role in reducing the downside risk exposure of farm households. It is also found that transitional heterogeneity revealed that farm households who did not adopt AWM would have been benefited more than those who adopted AWM if they did adopt. Equally, farm households who did adopt AWM would have been exposed to downside risk exposure in a higher probability than those who did not adopt if they did not adopt. The finding from this study confirms that adoption of AWM is important for farmers to reduce the likelihood of crop failure. Therefore, the result suggests the adoption and diffusion of AWM in the Nile Basin areas to reduce the probability of crop failure and contract the deleterious effects of climate change.
  • No Thumbnail Available
    Item
    The Effect of Climate Change Adaptation Strategy on Farm Household’s Welfare in Nile Basin of Ethiopia: Is there Synergy or Trade off?
    (2016-06) Asmare, Fissha; Teklewold, Hailemariam (PhD)
    Climate change is affecting different dimensions of human life. The effect is significant for rural farm households in Ethiopia. In response to this farmers use different adaptation strategies. However, there is a gap in knowledge on the effect of different adaptation strategies on farm household’s welfare. This study examines the effect of Crop Diversification (CD), as a climate change adaptation strategy, on farm household’s welfare in terms of farm income and demand for labor in Nile Basin of Ethiopia. The study also identified the main determinants of adopting CD. The study explore whether there is synergy or tradeoff between the effect of CD on household income and labor demand. The relationship between Farm household’s income and family labor demand are modeled by using Endogenous Switching Regression model (ESRM) containing household and farm characteristics including a set of geo referenced climate variables such as, temperature and growing season rain fall. The analysis is based on farm household data collected in 2015. The result indicates that, climate variables such as, the amount and variability of growing season rain fall and temperature are the most important factors affecting both household’s income, demand for labour and adoption of CD. The study also shows that adopting CD is more likely in areas characterized by low rain fall and high temperature. In addition to this the study indicates synergy on the effect of adoption of CD, a positive and significant effect in enhancing farm household’s income and reducing family labor demand. Adopters benefited more in terms of reduction in labor demand than their non adopter counter parts. The findings of this study confirms that using crop diversification is a win-win climate change adaptation strategy that provides double benefit both in terms of productivity improvement and labor reduction. Thus, the result suggests the adoption of CD in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia to improve the wellbeing of farm household’s and to build a resilient agricultural system for the catastrophic effect of climate change.