Browsing by Author "Elias Hailu"

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    Analysis of Risk and Supply Response of Agriculture: Empirical Investigations from the Ethiopian Coffee Growing Zones
    (Addis Ababa University, 2007-07) Elias Hailu; Demeke Mulat
    A study was conducted to examine the major shocks and their impact on coffee production and the livelihood of smallholder coffee farmers in five major coffee growing zones of Ethiopia, namely, Sidamo, Jimma, Illubabor, Wolayta and West Hararghe. After pooling the available data set using the error component model, the pooled OLS and fixed effects regression methods were used to analyze the effects of shocks on coffee production and supply response variation across the study areas. It was found that a combination of shocks including drought, pests and coffee diseases, drastic fall in world coffee price and health problems have serious effects on coffee yield and household income. Households living in different zones of the country have different supply responses because of the socio-economic and agroecological differences. In the face of the severe effects of shocks, farmers have adopted a range of risk management strategies such as intercropping, depleting assets, borrowing, membership to a social support system and production/marketing unions. However, under the prevailing production technology and farming systems, the strategies employed by farmers are not adequate enough to cope with the effects of the recurring shocks. Policy implication of the study is that one-size-fits-all policy packages and blanket recommendations cannot solve the problems of coffee farmers. Therefore, under the current dynamic market scenario, the success of the Ethiopian coffee sub-sector highly depends on targeted support to reduce the impacts of shocks and to build the capacity of indigenous institutions. Interventions need to be disaggregated by agro-ecological zones and socio-economic settings.
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    Impact of Productive Safety Net Program on Households’ Welfare and Resilience to Environmental shocks in Rural Ethiopia: Evidence from Panel
    (Addis Ababa University, 2017-06) Abuye Chernet S.; Elias Hailu
    From the analysis of IFPRI five round survey data from 2006 to 2014 this study has examined the impact of Productive Safety Net Program (PSNP) on Resilience to environmental shocks and Welfare of beneficiary households. In this study the analysis was made using Difference in Difference method of panel data analysis. This study has found Positive impact of PSNP on beneficiaries’ Resilience to shock; measured using Food Gap, inconclusive impact of beneficiaries Welfare; measured using Per-capita expenditure and PSNP impact on Welfare of program participant has been concluded as Negative based on causal effect analysis of PSNP and households Welfare; using Asset Accumulation. This study has also recommended to measure program impact by classifying resilience effect of PSNP in to ex-antie analysis and ex-post analysis of shock resilience and indicates the potential effect of possible policy changes particularly policy issues related to the program such as payment size and PW involvements. Key word: Resilience, Welfare, Environmental shock, Index, PSNP, Ethiopia