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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/2614
Title: The Effect of Improved Productivity of the Manufacturing Industry on the Ethiopian Economy: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis
???metadata.dc.contributor.*???: Dr. Tadele Ferede
Bethelhem, Bethelhem
Keywords: Economics
Issue Date: 16-Jan-2013
Publisher: aau
Abstract: The Effect of Improved Productivity of the Manufacturing Industry on the Ethiopian Economy: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis Bethelhem Berhane Ethiopia’s manufacturing industry is at the onset of development though there are recent upsurges in the number of firms. This study examines the effect of productivity improvement of the manufacturing sector on the macro economy, sectoral output, factor and household income and welfare of households. In order to investigate this impact, the study utilized the recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The recently updated 2005/06 Ethiopian SAM was used to calibrate the CGE framework. Three policy simulations of high, medium and low TFP growth rates were simulated on textile, leather, agro processing, and non-agro processing and overall manufacturing activities. The study demonstrated that the manufacturing sector is a key driver of economic growth in particular; the findings suggest that productivity increase in textile, agro processing, and non-agro processing and overall manufacturing sector largely increases real GDP and sectoral outputs. Moreover, both rural and urban households are well-off in all the policy simulations. However, increasing the TFP of the leather sector alone showed no significant change on the macro variables like; real GDP, absorption, private consumption and investment. It also resulted in welfare loss to all households except rural poor. The study further extends its recommendation for Ethiopia to develop a strong industrial policy aimed towards promoting both agro and non-agro processing industries.
Description: A Thesis Submitted to The Department of Economics Presented in Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Degree of Masters of Science in Economics (International Economics)
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/2614
Appears in Collections:Thesis - Economics

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